Hawaii Real Estate Blog

Real estate rates dip overnight
January 14th, 2008 4:30 PM

30-year fixed rate at 5.52%; 10-year Treasury yield at 3.79%

Monday, January 14, 2008

Inman News


Long-term mortgage interest rates headed lower Friday, and the benchmark 10-year Treasury bond yield dropped to 3.79 percent.

The 30-year fixed-rate average sank to 5.52 percent, and the 15-year fixed rate slipped to 5.03 percent. The 1-year adjustable rate was down at 5.34 percent.

The 30-year Treasury bond yield fell to 4.38 percent.

Rates and bonds are current as of 7:15 p.m. Eastern Standard Time.

Mortgage rate figures are according to Bankrate.com, which publishes nightly averages based on its survey of 4,000 banks in 50 states. Points on these mortgages range from zero to 3.5.

In other economic news, the Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled 246.79 points, or 1.92 percent, finishing at 12,606.3. The Nasdaq lost 48.58 points, or 1.95 percent, closing at 2,439.94.

Stock figures are current as of 7:30 p.m. Eastern Standard Time.


Posted by Fadi Mahmoud on January 14th, 2008 4:30 PMPost a Comment (0)

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Hawaii banks lower mortgage rates
January 25th, 2008 9:03 PM

Pacific Business News (Honolulu)

Mortgage rates at Hawaii's three largest banks dipped below 5 percent this week to the lowest rates since mid 2003.

American Savings Bank offered a 30-year, fixed-rate loan for 4.875 percent with 1.5 points, while Bank of Hawaii was at 4.875 percent with 1.75 points, according to data from the Honolulu Board of Realtors.

First Hawaiian Bank's 30-year mortgage was offered at 4.95 percent with 2 points.

Countrywide's 30-year loan was offered at 5 percent with 1.625 points and Central Pacific HomeLoans offered a rate of 5.125 percent with 2 points.

Rates are expected to continue their decline in Hawaii, especially for adjustable-rate mortgages, or ARMs, said Harvey Shapiro, the board's research economist.

"I think they'll stay low and I believe the Fed will probably lower rates at their meeting next week in addition to the three-quarter point cut this week," Shapiro said. "That translates to almost immediate declines in ARMs."

Nationally, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 5.48 percent with an average 0.4 point this week. That was the lowest rate since March 25, 2004, when the average rate was 5.4 percent, according to mortgage giant Freddie Mac.


Posted by Fadi Mahmoud on January 25th, 2008 9:03 PMPost a Comment (0)

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Kailua Beach access map
January 25th, 2008 11:40 AM

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FICO Speeds Rollout of New Product to Meet Lender Demands
January 14th, 2008 4:33 PM

The credit scoring system is being tweaked again as Fair Isaac Corporation, developer of the FICO credit score rolls out a new model dubbed FICO 08.

The new product was originally announced back in June but was not due to be finalized for a while. A demand by users in the wake of both rising mortgage defaults and consumer credit delinquencies for a better way of analyzing risk has pushed FICO into speeding up the release. It is expected that FICO 08 will begin to roll out by late spring.

Last year the three major credit bureaus announced credit score packages of their own, probably having seen the success FICO was having in charging consumers for information on their credit scores. FICO, however, remains the product used by most lenders not only to grant credit but to set interest rates and other loan terms. FICO scores are also factored into credit decisions by insurance underwriters, cell phone, and utility companies and are sometimes used by employers to evaluate prospective employees.

FICO predicts that the new scoring system will help lenders reduce default rates on consumer loans between 5 and 15 percent. FICO 08 will supposedly go easier on consumers who make the occasional slip while coming down harder on those with multiple offenses. For example, it will give a slightly higher score than previously to a borrower who is late on one obligation but current on multiple other accounts. Those with several delinquent accounts could find their credit score has dropped.

Scores will still range from 300 to 850 and will take into account the same factors as the old version such as timely payment history, length of credit history, amount of debt, ratio of debt to available credit, type of debt (credit cards good, finance companies not so good), and any excessive amount of recent new credit. There will also be a premium placed on the debt mix; that is a consumer with revolving and installment credit will fare better than one with nothing but (revolving) credit card debt.

Among the big changes FICO is in the area of evaluating "authorized users." An authorized user is one who is not responsible for paying a credit card, but that card's history is reported on the user's credit as well as on the owner's credit. Parents have for years made children authorized users of their cards in order to help them build credit and many spouses derive all of their credit histories from being authorized users of their husband's or wife's card.

This form of credit improvement, commonly called "piggy-backing," however, became an article of commerce. As we reported in June, a whole industry had grown up to broker improved credit through authorized user status. Credit card owners with healthy FICO scores could make significant income by renting authorized user status to those seeking to improve their scores. The broker would manage the rental transaction (in which the renter would never have access to the actual account) paying the owner a fee of perhaps $150. Since the transaction has an almost immediate effect on the renters score the broker can fairly quickly remove that name from the account and recycle it to another renter, generating another $150 for the owner. The new credit information remains on the first renter's credit report forever.

Lenders became alarmed about this practice as it seemed to undermine their attempts to contain risk so FICO 08 will eliminate any impact of being an authorized user. This will not only affect the authorized user for a fee but also the college student hoping to build his credit on the foundation of his parents'.

A number of websites have sprung up in an effort to prevent FICO from implementing FICO 08 but most of the complaints are those that have long been leveled against credit scoring and credit reporting agencies. Critics have long questioned whether scores are valid measures of risk, complained about a lack of transparency about how scores are calculated, and postulated that minorities are unfairly penalized by the systems. The new version of FICO has prompted anger over the elimination of the authorized user category claiming that it will unduly penalize women who are more likely to have that status on their husbands' card than vice versa.

One website recommends that authorized users of spouses accounts open a few new ones either jointly with the spouse or in their own names and advises persons who are about to be married to retain their own credit cards even as they are added as an authorized user to the spouses credit lines.


Posted by Fadi Mahmoud on January 14th, 2008 4:33 PMPost a Comment (0)

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Fed Chair Promises "Substantive Additional Action" on Behalf of Economy
January 14th, 2008 4:28 PM

The headlines read "Chairman Bernanke Says Fed Ready to Cut Interest Rates as Needed." Well, not exactly. What Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke actually said, in remarks on Thursday was "We stand ready to take substantive additional action as needed to support growth and to provide adequate insurance against downside risks."

Bernanke made his remarks in a speech to a housing and economic forum in Washington, DC. He reviewed the history of the housing slowdown and the credit crunch and the various recent moves on the part of the Federal Reserve to shore up the economy including lowering its principal rate three times last year to a two year low of 4.25 percent and introducing a term auction facility or TAF through which specified amounts of discount window credit can be auctioned to eligible borrowers, successfully auctioning $40 billion to banks in December.

In spite of the fact that the Chairman did not mention numbers in his statement about the Fed's readiness, many economists expect that the Fed will slash its key interest rate by a half-point at its next meeting at the end of the month. Others think that many members of the Fed board are more worried about inflation than a recession given $100 per barrel oil and the Feds will limit any cut to one-quarter point.


Posted by Fadi Mahmoud on January 14th, 2008 4:28 PMPost a Comment (0)

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Dec. 2007-Oahu Real estate statistics
January 7th, 2008 12:14 PM

 

During December, sales of 240 single-family homes and 353 condominiums were reported through the Board's MLS, decreases of 30.6 percent for single family homes and 22.9 percent for condominiums, compared to the same month last year. This brings total single-family home sales on Oahu to 3,627 for 2007, a decrease of 10.2 percent over the same time period one year ago. Total condominium sales for all of 2007 were 5,499, a 13.8 percent decrease from last year. The full year median prices paid for Oahu properties were $643,500 and $325,000, respectively, increases of 2.1 percent and 4.8 percent over the 2006 prices of $630,000 and $310,000. The total dollar sales volume generated in the housing market for all of 2007 was $4.977 billion, a decrease of 8.9 percent, or $488 million, compared to the $5.465 billion produced one year ago.

There is a 0.6% decrease in Single Family Homes Median Sales Price from last year, while a 1.4% increase in Condominium Median Sales Price in December 2007 compared to the same month last year.

There is a 30.6% decrease in Single Family Homes Sales Volume from last year, and a 22.9% decrease in Condominium Sales Volume in December 2007 compared to the same month last year.

"Even though the number of sales have declined in the last few months of 2007, we are coming off of such record highs that we are still at the levels we attained during the last peak cycle between 1988 and 1991," said Berton Hamamoto, President of the Honolulu Board of REALTORS®. "The Honolulu real estate market has faired well this year in comparison to many Mainland cities. We showed modest gains of 2.1 percent and 4.8 percent for single-family and condo sale prices, as opposed to negative numbers for several U.S. cities."

"Housing resales during December were low but this was not unexpected," added Harvey Shapiro, Research Economist at the Board of REALTORS®. "The economy in Hawaii has been maintaining its strength although there are some indications of a coming slowdown."


Posted by Fadi Mahmoud on January 7th, 2008 12:14 PMPost a Comment (0)

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